Forecasting Residential Electricity Demand Through Machine Learning and Model Synthesis

Presentation Date

4-10-2019

Degree Program

Economics, MS

Major Advisor Name

Kelly Chen

Type of Submission

Scholarly Poster

Abstract

This paper aims to develop a predictive model of residential electricity demand using techniques from statistical science, data analysis and econometrics. Residential energy intensity is investigated as a critical component of demand and evaluated as a predictor of energy use per household using a panel data set compiled from the US Energy Information Administration. Statistical and machine learning methods are combined using an umbrella of linear regression, and predictive accuracy is tested for in-sample and out-of-sample validity.

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