Abstract Title

A Dynamical Systems Model of Dengue Transmission for Rio De Janeiro, Brazil

Additional Funding Sources

This research was made available by the National Science Foundation through the Center for Undergraduate Research in Mathematics through Grant No. DMS-1722563.

Abstract

The Dengue virus is a serious concern in many parts of the world, including Brazil. As data indicates, a prominent vector for Dengue is the Aedes Aegypti mosquito. By using the dengue incidence records from the Brazilian SINAN database, we estimate the population of Aedes aegypti within the city of Rio de Janeiro. Using historical climate data for Rio de Janeiro and the computed population estimates, we extend an existing model for the population dynamics of mosquitos to incorporate precipitation in aquatic stages of development for the Aedes aegypti mosquito.

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A Dynamical Systems Model of Dengue Transmission for Rio De Janeiro, Brazil

The Dengue virus is a serious concern in many parts of the world, including Brazil. As data indicates, a prominent vector for Dengue is the Aedes Aegypti mosquito. By using the dengue incidence records from the Brazilian SINAN database, we estimate the population of Aedes aegypti within the city of Rio de Janeiro. Using historical climate data for Rio de Janeiro and the computed population estimates, we extend an existing model for the population dynamics of mosquitos to incorporate precipitation in aquatic stages of development for the Aedes aegypti mosquito.