Who Will Stop Contributing?: Predicting Inactive Editors in Wikipedia
In this paper, we focus on English Wikipedia, one of the main user-contributed content systems, and study the problem of predicting which users will become inactive and stop contributing to the encyclopedia. We propose a predictive model leveraging frequent patterns appearing in user's editing behavior as features to predict active vs. inactive Wikipedia users. Our experiments show that our method can effectively predict inactive users with an AUROC of 0.97 and significantly beats competitors in the task of early prediction of inactive users.
Arelli, Harish and Spezzano, Francesca. (2017). "Who Will Stop Contributing?: Predicting Inactive Editors in Wikipedia". ASONAM '17: Proceedings of the 2017 IEEE/ACM International Conference on Advances in Social Networks Analysis and Mining 2017, 355-358.