In the initial analysis of data from a random sample of all those charged with child sexual abuse in Idaho over a 13 year period, only one predictive variable was found that related to recidivism of those convicted. Variables such as ethnicity, relationship, gender and age differences did not show a significant or even large association with recidivism. The only variable that seemed to show both a significant and almost moderate association to recidivism was the Risk Assessment in the Sex Offender Evaluation re-offense. Comparisons were made to prior research as well as a discussion of implications of the sex offender evaluation for the legal process. Finally, a call for the continued need for further research is discussed.
Patrick, Steven and Marsh, Robert. (2009). "Recidivism Among Child Sexual Abusers: Initial Results of a 13 Year Longitudinal Random Sample". Journal of Child Sexual Abuse, 18(2), 123-136. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10538710902743909